CAR
4–5
NYI
Final · L
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 17-13-4
4–5
FinalL
New York Islanders
NYI · 16-8-9
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
115110215440
NYI
31216110528
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 1–2
CAR 17-13-4 · NYI 16-8-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 1–2
Hurricanes fell to the Islanders
The Hurricanes created the better chances (4.2 to 2.5 expected goals) — and lost 4–5. Pyotr Kochetkov allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 2.5, on 40 and 28 shots on goal.
CAR 4.2 xG · 40 shots
NYI 2.5 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.6 · 1.1
2nd
1.1 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 11:19 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Teuvo Teravainen · 1st 12:22 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (53%)
3
Brock Nelson · 1st 14:43 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Bo Horvat · 1st 18:25 · 1–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 00:59 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Mike Reilly · 2nd 14:12 · 2–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Jaccob Slavin · 3rd 01:56 · 3–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Anders Lee · 3rd 03:44 · 3–5 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Stefan Noesen · 3rd 09:17 · 4–5 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 74.
CAR 74%NYI 26%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 11:19 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Teuvo Teravainen · 1st 12:22 · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (53%)
3
Brock Nelson · 1st 14:43 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Bo Horvat · 1st 18:25 · 1–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 00:59 · PP · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Mike Reilly · 2nd 14:12 · 2–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Jaccob Slavin · 3rd 01:56 · 3–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Anders Lee · 3rd 03:44 · GWG · 3–5
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Stefan Noesen · 3rd 09:17 · PP · 4–5
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
1
Kyle Palmieri, Brock Nelson · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
36/40 saves · 4 GA · 4.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
