Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 23-13-5
6–3
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 14-26-1
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
2163919634
ANA
0131203316
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CAR 23-13-5 · ANA 14-26-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Hurricanes beat the Ducks
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.6 expected goals); the Hurricanes won 6–3. John Gibson allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.6, on 34 and 16 shots on goal.
CAR 2.8 xG · 34 shots
ANA 2.6 xG · 16 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.3 · 0.4
2nd
1.1 · 1.4
3rd
0.5 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brady Skjei · 1st 16:00 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 16:15 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Isac Lundeström · 2nd 00:25 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (32%)
4
Jordan Martinook · 2nd 01:57 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Ryan Strome · 2nd 10:06 · 3–2 · bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (50%)
6
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 10:53 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Stefan Noesen · 2nd 14:30 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Jack Drury · 2nd 16:41 · 5–3 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
9
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 09:54 · 6–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 54.
CAR 54%ANA 46%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brady Skjei · 1st 16:00 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 16:15 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Isac Lundeström · 2nd 00:25 · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (32%)
4
Jordan Martinook · 2nd 01:57 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Ryan Strome · 2nd 10:06 · 3–2
Bat shot on a rebound, a great chance (50%)
6
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 10:53 · PP · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Stefan Noesen · 2nd 14:30 · GWG · 4–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Jack Drury · 2nd 16:41 · PP · 5–3
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
9
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 09:54 · 6–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
10/13 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
3/3 saves · 0 GA · 0.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.