CAR
3–2
PIT
Final / OT · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 24-13-5
3–2
Final / OTW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 20-15-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CAR
2160801011335
PIT
01001621400240
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–1
CAR 24-13-5 · PIT 20-15-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–1
Hurricanes beat the Penguins
The Hurricanes earned it: 4.0 expected goals to 2.7, and they won it in overtime on Pesce's goal. Tristan Jarry stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.7, on 35 and 40 shots on goal.
CAR 4.0 xG · 35 shots
PIT 2.7 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.9 · 0.6
2nd
1.1 · 1.2
3rd
1.0 · 0.9
OT
0.1 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brett Pesce · 1st 06:12 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Jordan Martinook · 1st 09:04 · 2–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
3
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 06:45 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Bryan Rust · 3rd 19:07 · 2–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
5
Brett Pesce · OT 01:41 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 69.
CAR 69%PIT 31%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brett Pesce · 1st 06:12 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Jordan Martinook · 1st 09:04 · 2–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
3
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 06:45 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Bryan Rust · 3rd 19:07 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
5
Brett Pesce · OT 01:41 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
38/40 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
