Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 25-14-5
4–2
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 23-17-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
1818214430
DET
131504212
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
CAR 25-14-5 · DET 23-17-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
Hurricanes beat the Red Wings
The Hurricanes earned it: 2.2 expected goals to 1.0, and a 4–2 win to show for it. Antti Raanta allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.2 expected goals to 1.0, on 30 and 12 shots on goal.
CAR 2.2 xG · 30 shots
DET 1.0 xG · 12 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 0.3
2nd
0.4 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
1.0 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Klim Kostin · 1st 02:27 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Jordan Martinook · 1st 03:14 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Martin Necas · 2nd 16:25 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
J.T. Compher · 2nd 19:17 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 10:46 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 18:44 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 75.
CAR 75%DET 25%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Klim Kostin · 1st 02:27 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Jordan Martinook · 1st 03:14 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Martin Necas · 2nd 16:25 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
J.T. Compher · 2nd 19:17 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 10:46 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 18:44 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
10/12 saves · 2 GA · 1.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.