CAR
2–5
MIN
Final · L
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 25-15-5
2–5
FinalL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 20-21-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
118013111242
MIN
131739519
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 0–1
CAR 25-15-5 · MIN 20-21-5 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 0–1
Hurricanes fell to the Wild
The Hurricanes created the better chances (4.4 to 2.8 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Filip Gustavsson stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 2.8, on 42 and 19 shots on goal.
CAR 4.4 xG · 42 shots
MIN 2.8 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
1.8 · 0.3
2nd
1.5 · 0.8
3rd
1.0 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Martin Necas · 1st 14:02 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 17:43 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 06:18 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Michael Bunting · 3rd 08:17 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 09:32 · 2–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (82%)
6
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 17:59 · 2–4 · slap shot, into an empty net
7
Jake Middleton · 3rd 19:04 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 72.
CAR 72%MIN 28%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Martin Necas · 1st 14:02 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 17:43 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 06:18 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Michael Bunting · 3rd 08:17 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Joel Eriksson Ek · 3rd 09:32 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (82%)
6
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 17:59 · EN · 2–4
Slap shot, into an empty net
7
Jake Middleton · 3rd 19:04 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/17 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
40/42 saves · 2 GA · 4.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
