CAR
5–2
COL
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 29-16-5
5–2
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 32-16-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
35110112527
COL
2809010227
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CAR 29-16-5 · COL 32-16-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Hurricanes beat the Avalanche
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.9 expected goals to 2.7, and a 5–2 win to show for it.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.7, on 27 and 27 shots on goal.
CAR 3.9 xG · 27 shots
COL 2.7 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 0.9
3rd
1.6 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Martin Necas · 1st 01:52 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Martin Necas · 1st 06:25 · 2–0 · slap shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Martin Necas · 1st 16:51 · 3–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (52%)
4
Zach Parise · 1st 19:33 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Samuel Girard · 1st 19:38 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
6
Michael Bunting · 2nd 12:06 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 19:06 · 5–2 · into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 68.
CAR 68%COL 32%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Martin Necas · 1st 01:52 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Martin Necas · 1st 06:25 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–0
Slap shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Martin Necas · 1st 16:51 · GWG · 3–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (52%)
4
Zach Parise · 1st 19:33 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Samuel Girard · 1st 19:38 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
6
Michael Bunting · 2nd 12:06 · PP · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 19:06 · EN · 5–2
into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
9/9 saves · 0 GA · 0.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
