Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 33-17-5
6–3
FinalW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 15-38-3
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
114317211642
CHI
051428317
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
CAR 33-17-5 · CHI 15-38-3 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Blackhawks
The Hurricanes earned it: 4.6 expected goals to 2.1, and a 6–3 win to show for it. The Hurricanes owned the 2nd period, 2.0 to 0.3 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 2.1, on 42 and 17 shots on goal.
CAR 4.6 xG · 42 shots
CHI 2.1 xG · 17 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.4 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
2.0 · 0.3
3rd
1.2 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael Bunting · 1st 11:45 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Martin Necas · 2nd 01:59 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 2nd 08:22 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 10:52 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Nick Foligno · 2nd 15:23 · 4–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Brent Burns · 3rd 02:34 · 5–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
7
Connor Bedard · 3rd 07:00 · 5–2 · snap shot, a great chance (46%)
8
Tyler Johnson · 3rd 09:08 · 5–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 18:11 · 6–3 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 83.
CAR 83%CHI 17%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael Bunting · 1st 11:45 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Martin Necas · 2nd 01:59 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 2nd 08:22 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 10:52 · GWG · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Nick Foligno · 2nd 15:23 · 4–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Brent Burns · 3rd 02:34 · PP · 5–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
7
Connor Bedard · 3rd 07:00 · PP · 5–2
Snap shot, a great chance (46%)
8
Tyler Johnson · 3rd 09:08 · PP · 5–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 18:11 · EN · 6–3
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/17 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
36/41 saves · 5 GA · 4.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.