Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 39-19-6
7–2
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 31-28-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
216414110740
CGY
021919220
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CAR 39-19-6 · CGY 31-28-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Hurricanes beat the Flames
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 1.9, and a 7–2 win to show for it. Dan Vladar allowed 3.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.9, on 40 and 20 shots on goal.
CAR 3.3 xG · 40 shots
CGY 1.9 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.1
2nd
1.0 · 1.1
3rd
0.9 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jordan Martinook · 1st 06:30 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Sebastian Aho · 1st 17:43 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Jalen Chatfield · 2nd 00:17 · 3–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 01:15 · 4–0 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Dryden Hunt · 2nd 04:11 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Brent Burns · 2nd 13:55 · 5–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 19:26 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 04:54 · 6–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Teuvo Teravainen · 3rd 17:14 · 7–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (25%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 72.
CAR 72%CGY 28%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jordan Martinook · 1st 06:30 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Sebastian Aho · 1st 17:43 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Jalen Chatfield · 2nd 00:17 · GWG · 3–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 01:15 · 4–0
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Dryden Hunt · 2nd 04:11 · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Brent Burns · 2nd 13:55 · 5–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 19:26 · 6–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Yegor Sharangovich · 3rd 04:54 · 6–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Teuvo Teravainen · 3rd 17:14 · 7–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (25%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
8
Unassisted · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6–2
No penalties
Goaltending
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/40 saves · 7 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 3.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.