Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 40-20-6
4–0
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 45-18-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
112211112435
FLA
0100704021
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–1
CAR 40-20-6 · FLA 45-18-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–1
Hurricanes beat the Panthers
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 1.4, and a 4–0 win to show for it. Frederik Andersen stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 1.4, on 35 and 21 shots on goal.
CAR 3.6 xG · 35 shots
FLA 1.4 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.3
3rd
1.0 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 19:11 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Martin Necas · 2nd 02:46 · 2–0 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 2nd 08:27 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 15:42 · 4–0 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 84.
CAR 84%FLA 16%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 19:11 · GWG · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Martin Necas · 2nd 02:46 · 2–0
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 2nd 08:27 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 15:42 · EN · 4–0
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/21 saves · 0 GA · 1.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.