CAR
3–2
PHI
Final / OT · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 44-20-6
3–2
Final / OTW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 35-26-9
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CAR
092140713333
PHI
081811600232
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 3–1
CAR 44-20-6 · PHI 35-26-9 · Meeting 4 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 3–1
Hurricanes beat the Flyers
The Hurricanes were outchanced (3.8 to 2.2 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Jarvis's goal anyway. Frederik Andersen stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.2, on 32 and 33 shots on goal.
CAR 2.2 xG · 33 shots
PHI 3.8 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 1.2
2nd
0.9 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 1.4
OT
0.3 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jordan Martinook · 2nd 03:56 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Scott Laughton · 2nd 04:21 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Jalen Chatfield · 2nd 10:43 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Travis Konecny · 3rd 10:16 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
5
Seth Jarvis · OT 01:28 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 26.
CAR 26%PHI 74%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jordan Martinook · 2nd 03:56 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Scott Laughton · 2nd 04:21 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Jalen Chatfield · 2nd 10:43 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Travis Konecny · 3rd 10:16 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
5
Seth Jarvis · OT 01:28 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
