Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 45-20-7
2–1
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 40-21-9
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
216015012243
TOR
07013113133
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 3–0
CAR 45-20-7 · TOR 40-21-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 3–0
Hurricanes beat the Maple Leafs
The Hurricanes earned it: 4.6 expected goals to 3.3, and a 2–1 win to show for it. Joseph Woll stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 3.3, on 43 and 33 shots on goal.
CAR 4.6 xG · 43 shots
TOR 3.3 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
2.2 · 0.8
2nd
1.2 · 1.2
3rd
1.2 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brady Skjei · 1st 01:06 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Sebastian Aho · 1st 13:55 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Nick Robertson · 3rd 08:51 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 68.
CAR 68%TOR 32%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brady Skjei · 1st 01:06 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Sebastian Aho · 1st 13:55 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Nick Robertson · 3rd 08:51 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
41/43 saves · 2 GA · 4.6 xGA
Stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.