Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 46-21-7
4–0
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 36-30-7
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
01541008433
DET
0309012024
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 3–0
CAR 46-21-7 · DET 36-30-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 3–0
Hurricanes beat the Red Wings
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.6 expected goals); the Hurricanes won 4–0. Frederik Andersen stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.6, on 33 and 24 shots on goal.
CAR 3.0 xG · 33 shots
DET 2.6 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.4
2nd
1.2 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 04:42 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 05:39 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Martin Necas · 2nd 10:46 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Brady Skjei · 2nd 16:23 · 4–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 56.
CAR 56%DET 44%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 04:42 · GWG · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 05:39 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Martin Necas · 2nd 10:46 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Brady Skjei · 2nd 16:23 · 4–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
24/24 saves · 0 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.