CAR
4–2
WSH
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 48-22-7
4–2
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 36-30-10
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
018114313445
WSH
260406216
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
CAR 48-22-7 · WSH 36-30-10 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Hurricanes beat the Capitals
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Hurricanes erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Necas's equalizer — and won 4–2. The Hurricanes owned the 2nd period, 1.5 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 1.7, on 45 and 16 shots on goal.
CAR 3.4 xG · 45 shots
WSH 1.7 xG · 16 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.4
3rd
0.9 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 03:31 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
2
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 19:15 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 14:30 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Martin Necas · 3rd 11:40 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 18:09 · 3–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
6
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 19:55 · 4–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 77.
CAR 77%WSH 23%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 03:31 · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
2
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 19:15 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 14:30 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Martin Necas · 3rd 11:40 · PP · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 18:09 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
6
Jake Guentzel · 3rd 19:55 · EN · 4–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/16 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
41/44 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
