CAR
6–3
NYI
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 4-1
6–3
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 1-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
3210938638
NYI
14210010324
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Hurricanes lead the series 4–1
CAR 4-1 · NYI 1-4 · Game 5 — the Hurricanes lead the series 4–1
Hurricanes beat the Islanders
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.5 expected goals); the Hurricanes won 6–3. Semyon Varlamov allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.5, on 38 and 24 shots on goal.
CAR 2.8 xG · 38 shots
NYI 2.5 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.6
2nd
0.4 · 0.7
3rd
0.9 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Teuvo Teravainen · 1st 01:23 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 03:13 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Mike Reilly · 1st 03:54 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 1st 13:22 · 3–1 · snap shot, a great chance (40%)
5
Brock Nelson · 2nd 03:47 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Casey Cizikas · 2nd 19:38 · 3–3 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Jack Drury · 3rd 04:36 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Stefan Noesen · 3rd 04:44 · 5–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
9
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 18:21 · 6–3 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 55.
CAR 55%NYI 45%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Teuvo Teravainen · 1st 01:23 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 03:13 · PP · 2–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Mike Reilly · 1st 03:54 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 1st 13:22 · PS · 3–1
Snap shot, a great chance (40%)
5
Brock Nelson · 2nd 03:47 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Casey Cizikas · 2nd 19:38 · 3–3
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Jack Drury · 3rd 04:36 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Stefan Noesen · 3rd 04:44 · 5–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
9
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 18:21 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/37 saves · 5 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
