CAR
2–3
NYR
Final / OT · L
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 4-4
2–3
Final / OTL
New York Rangers
NYR · 7-0
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CAR
1170201901247
NYR
071111611325
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Hurricanes trail the series 0–3
CAR 4-4 · NYR 7-0 · Game 3 — the Hurricanes trail the series 0–3
Hurricanes fell to the Rangers
The Hurricanes created the better chances (3.6 to 3.0 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Panarin's goal. Igor Shesterkin stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 3.0, on 47 and 25 shots on goal.
CAR 3.6 xG · 47 shots
NYR 3.0 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 1.1
2nd
1.7 · 1.2
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
OT
0.0 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake Guentzel · 1st 10:14 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Chris Kreider · 2nd 08:30 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Alexis Lafrenière · 3rd 06:25 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 18:24 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Artemi Panarin · OT 01:43 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 58.
CAR 58%NYR 42%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Rangers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake Guentzel · 1st 10:14 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Chris Kreider · 2nd 08:30 · SH · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Alexis Lafrenière · 3rd 06:25 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 18:24 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Artemi Panarin · OT 01:43 · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
5
Vincent Trocheck, Alexis Lafrenière · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–3
No penalties
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
45/47 saves · 2 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
