CAR
4–3
NYR
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 5-4
4–3
FinalW
New York Rangers
NYR · 7-1
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
31001318431
NYR
1811215325
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Hurricanes trail the series 1–3
CAR 5-4 · NYR 7-1 · Game 4 — the Hurricanes trail the series 1–3
Hurricanes beat the Rangers
Chances were even (3.5 to 3.2 expected goals); the Hurricanes won 4–3.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.5 expected goals to 3.2, on 31 and 25 shots on goal.
CAR 3.5 xG · 31 shots
NYR 3.2 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 1.0
2nd
2.0 · 1.7
3rd
0.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 1st 01:51 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Stefan Noesen · 1st 06:33 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Will Cuylle · 1st 08:06 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Sebastian Aho · 1st 15:29 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Barclay Goodrow · 2nd 12:43 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Alexis Lafrenière · 3rd 02:04 · 3–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Brady Skjei · 3rd 16:49 · 4–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 54.
CAR 54%NYR 46%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Rangers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 1st 01:51 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Stefan Noesen · 1st 06:33 · 2–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Will Cuylle · 1st 08:06 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Sebastian Aho · 1st 15:29 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Barclay Goodrow · 2nd 12:43 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Alexis Lafrenière · 3rd 02:04 · 3–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Brady Skjei · 3rd 16:49 · PP · GWG · 4–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
1
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
7
Teuvo Teravainen, Andrei Svechnikov · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4–3
No penalties
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
