Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 0-1-0
1–4
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 1-0-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
1601104121
TBL
0914310423
goals · shots on goal
Season opener for both teams
·First meeting this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 0–1
CAR 0-1-0 · TBL 1-0-0 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 0–1
Hurricanes fell to the Lightning
The Hurricanes created the better chances (3.7 to 2.5 expected goals) — and lost 1–4. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.5, on 21 and 23 shots on goal.
CAR 3.7 xG · 21 shots
TBL 2.5 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
1.9 · 0.5
3rd
0.5 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jordan Staal · 1st 14:32 · 1–0 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Brayden Point · 2nd 02:33 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 11:06 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 17:53 · 1–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 19:44 · 1–4 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 69.
CAR 69%TBL 31%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jordan Staal · 1st 14:32 · 1–0
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Brayden Point · 2nd 02:33 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 11:06 · PP · GWG · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 17:53 · EN · 1–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Nikita Kucherov · 3rd 19:44 · EN · 1–4
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
20/21 saves · 1 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.