Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 1-1-0
4–2
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 4-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
08213210431
NJD
0817111226
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
CAR 1-1-0 · NJD 4-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Devils
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.5, and a 4–2 win to show for it. The Hurricanes owned the 1st period, 1.5 to 0.3 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.5, on 31 and 26 shots on goal.
CAR 3.5 xG · 31 shots
NJD 2.5 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.3
2nd
0.9 · 0.9
3rd
1.2 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jack Hughes · 2nd 01:16 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 10:55 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Shayne Gostisbehere · 2nd 19:23 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Jackson Blake · 3rd 10:16 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Nico Hischier · 3rd 15:16 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 18:24 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 66.
CAR 66%NJD 34%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jack Hughes · 2nd 01:16 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 10:55 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Shayne Gostisbehere · 2nd 19:23 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Jackson Blake · 3rd 10:16 · GWG · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Nico Hischier · 3rd 15:16 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 18:24 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
1
Jesper Bratt, Johnathan Kovacevic · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
0–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.