Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 8-2-0
4–2
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 8-3-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
113218114445
WSH
2100506221
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
CAR 8-2-0 · WSH 8-3-0 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Capitals
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 3.0, and a 4–2 win to show for it. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 3.0, on 45 and 21 shots on goal.
CAR 3.6 xG · 45 shots
WSH 3.0 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 2.0
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.4
3rd
1.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dmitry Orlov · 1st 14:01 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 19:16 · 1–1 · slap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Brandon Duhaime · 1st 19:49 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (80%)
4
Martin Necas · 2nd 02:29 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Dmitry Orlov · 2nd 05:26 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 19:51 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 59.
CAR 59%WSH 41%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dmitry Orlov · 1st 14:01 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 19:16 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Brandon Duhaime · 1st 19:49 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (80%)
4
Martin Necas · 2nd 02:29 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Dmitry Orlov · 2nd 05:26 · GWG · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 19:51 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
41/44 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.