Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 10-2-0
5–1
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 5-8-2
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
242915518
PIT
010016110136
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
CAR 10-2-0 · PIT 5-8-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
Hurricanes beat the Penguins
The Hurricanes were outchanced (3.6 to 2.4 expected goals) but won 5–1 anyway. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.4, on 36 and 18 shots on goal.
CAR 2.4 xG · 18 shots
PIT 3.6 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 1.0
2nd
0.9 · 1.6
3rd
1.0 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jordan Martinook · 1st 00:52 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Jack Roslovic · 1st 08:47 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 09:27 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Jaccob Slavin · 2nd 13:52 · 4–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Eric Robinson · 3rd 02:07 · 5–0 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Blake Lizotte · 3rd 05:08 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 31.
CAR 31%PIT 69%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jordan Martinook · 1st 00:52 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Jack Roslovic · 1st 08:47 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 09:27 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Jaccob Slavin · 2nd 13:52 · 4–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Eric Robinson · 3rd 02:07 · 5–0
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Blake Lizotte · 3rd 05:08 · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2nd period
3
Andrei Svechnikov, Jalen Chatfield · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3–0
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
35/36 saves · 1 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 2.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
13/18 saves · 5 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.