CAR
4–1
STL
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 13-4-0
4–1
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 8-10-1
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
1725112424
STL
11101108130
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CAR 13-4-0 · STL 8-10-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Hurricanes beat the Blues
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.7 expected goals to 2.4, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.4, on 24 and 30 shots on goal.
CAR 3.7 xG · 24 shots
STL 2.4 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd
1.1 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
1.9 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake Neighbours · 1st 06:05 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 19:35 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Eric Robinson · 2nd 00:17 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
4
Martin Necas · 2nd 12:26 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Martin Necas · 3rd 16:47 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 70.
CAR 70%STL 30%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake Neighbours · 1st 06:05 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 19:35 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Eric Robinson · 2nd 00:17 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
4
Martin Necas · 2nd 12:26 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Martin Necas · 3rd 16:47 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Eric Robinson, Jesperi Kotkaniemi · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4–1
No penalties
Goaltending
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 2.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 3.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
