CAR
6–4
DAL
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 15-5-1
6–4
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 13-7-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
16013515634
DAL
251816419
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
CAR 15-5-1 · DAL 13-7-0 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Stars
Down 1–3 in the 2nd period, the Hurricanes erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Burns's equalizer — and won 6–4. Jake Oettinger allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.5, on 34 and 19 shots on goal.
CAR 3.2 xG · 34 shots
DAL 3.5 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 1.4
2nd
1.0 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyler Seguin · 1st 00:18 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (46%)
2
Seth Jarvis · 1st 06:36 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Thomas Harley · 1st 10:15 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Mason Marchment · 2nd 07:13 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 01:10 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Brent Burns · 3rd 03:43 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Shayne Gostisbehere · 3rd 08:09 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 14:46 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
9
Martin Necas · 3rd 17:53 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
10
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 19:45 · 6–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 45.
CAR 45%DAL 55%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyler Seguin · 1st 00:18 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (46%)
2
Seth Jarvis · 1st 06:36 · SH · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Thomas Harley · 1st 10:15 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Mason Marchment · 2nd 07:13 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 01:10 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Brent Burns · 3rd 03:43 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Shayne Gostisbehere · 3rd 08:09 · PP · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 14:46 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
9
Martin Necas · 3rd 17:53 · PP · GWG · 5–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
10
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 19:45 · EN · 6–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
9
Shayne Gostisbehere, Seth Jarvis · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5–4
No penalties
Goaltending
15/19 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/33 saves · 5 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
