Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 16-8-1
2–4
FinalL
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 12-13-1
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
1502112219
SEA
1611428428
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CAR 16-8-1 · SEA 12-13-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Hurricanes fell to the Kraken
Chances were even (2.0 to 2.3 expected goals); the Hurricanes lost 2–4. Pyotr Kochetkov allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 2.3, on 19 and 28 shots on goal.
CAR 2.0 xG · 19 shots
SEA 2.3 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
0.1 · 1.3
3rd
1.5 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jaden Schwartz · 1st 00:19 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Eric Robinson · 1st 04:56 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Eeli Tolvanen · 2nd 05:56 · 1–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
4
Martin Necas · 3rd 05:43 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Yanni Gourde · 3rd 10:48 · 2–3 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Brandon Tanev · 3rd 15:03 · 2–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 44.
CAR 44%SEA 56%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jaden Schwartz · 1st 00:19 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Eric Robinson · 1st 04:56 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Eeli Tolvanen · 2nd 05:56 · 1–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
4
Martin Necas · 3rd 05:43 · PP · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Yanni Gourde · 3rd 10:48 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Brandon Tanev · 3rd 15:03 · 2–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.