Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 17-8-1
5–3
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 14-13-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
11521327535
COL
160627319
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CAR 17-8-1 · COL 14-13-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Hurricanes beat the Avalanche
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.4 expected goals to 2.3, and a 5–3 win to show for it. The Hurricanes scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.3, on 35 and 19 shots on goal.
CAR 3.4 xG · 35 shots
COL 2.3 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.6
2nd
1.1 · 0.6
3rd
0.8 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 09:13 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Eric Robinson · 1st 16:05 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 04:09 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 06:41 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 14:41 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Martin Necas · 3rd 17:49 · 4–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 18:13 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
8
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 19:44 · 5–3 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 68.
CAR 68%COL 32%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 09:13 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Eric Robinson · 1st 16:05 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 04:09 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 06:41 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 14:41 · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Martin Necas · 3rd 17:49 · PP · GWG · 4–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 18:13 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
8
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 19:44 · EN · 5–3
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
6
Andrei Svechnikov, Shayne Gostisbehere · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4–2
No penalties
Goaltending
16/19 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.