Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 18-9-1
3–2
FinalW
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 10-16-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
1110829328
SJS
191707223
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
CAR 18-9-1 · SJS 10-16-5 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Sharks
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 2.2, and a 3–2 win to show for it. Chatfield's winner came with 2:39 left. The Hurricanes owned the 3rd period, 1.7 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.2, on 28 and 23 shots on goal.
CAR 3.8 xG · 28 shots
SJS 2.2 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.6
2nd
1.0 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Shayne Gostisbehere · 1st 04:26 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Luke Kunin · 1st 18:51 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Luke Kunin · 2nd 11:44 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Brent Burns · 3rd 04:11 · 2–2 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Jalen Chatfield · 3rd 17:21 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 74.
CAR 74%SJS 26%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Shayne Gostisbehere · 1st 04:26 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Luke Kunin · 1st 18:51 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Luke Kunin · 2nd 11:44 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Brent Burns · 3rd 04:11 · 2–2
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Jalen Chatfield · 3rd 17:21 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3–2
No penalties
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.