Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 22-13-1
5–2
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 24-12-3
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
016112413541
NJD
0101716223
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
CAR 22-13-1 · NJD 24-12-3 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Hurricanes beat the Devils
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.2 expected goals to 2.6, and a 5–2 win to show for it.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.6, on 41 and 23 shots on goal.
CAR 3.2 xG · 41 shots
NJD 2.6 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.3 · 0.5
2nd
1.0 · 1.4
3rd
0.9 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Paul Cotter · 2nd 02:56 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Dmitry Orlov · 2nd 19:30 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Ondrej Palat · 3rd 01:05 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 01:56 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Jackson Blake · 3rd 10:43 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Jack Roslovic · 3rd 12:06 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Jack Roslovic · 3rd 16:38 · 5–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 60.
CAR 60%NJD 40%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Paul Cotter · 2nd 02:56 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Dmitry Orlov · 2nd 19:30 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Ondrej Palat · 3rd 01:05 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 01:56 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Jackson Blake · 3rd 10:43 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Jack Roslovic · 3rd 12:06 · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Jack Roslovic · 3rd 16:38 · EN · 5–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
36/40 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.