Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 23-14-2
0–4
FinalL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 25-11-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
080904021
MIN
11011027427
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 0–1
CAR 23-14-2 · MIN 25-11-4 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 0–1
Hurricanes fell to the Wild
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.5 expected goals); the Hurricanes lost 0–4. Filip Gustavsson stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.5, on 21 and 27 shots on goal.
CAR 2.7 xG · 21 shots
MIN 2.5 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.0
2nd
0.7 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
1.3 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mats Zuccarello · 1st 13:03 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 11:30 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Matt Boldy · 3rd 09:20 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 17:14 · 0–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 53.
CAR 53%MIN 47%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mats Zuccarello · 1st 13:03 · GWG · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Joel Eriksson Ek · 2nd 11:30 · PP · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Matt Boldy · 3rd 09:20 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 17:14 · EN · 0–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/21 saves · 0 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.