CAR
4–3
PIT
Final / OT · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 24-14-2
4–3
Final / OTW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 17-17-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CAR
093140513431
PIT
25051900319
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 3–0
CAR 24-14-2 · PIT 17-17-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 3–0
Hurricanes beat the Penguins
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Hurricanes erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Chatfield's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Aho's goal. Dustin Tokarski allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 1.5, on 31 and 19 shots on goal.
CAR 3.4 xG · 31 shots
PIT 1.5 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.4
2nd
1.3 · 0.5
3rd
0.7 · 0.5
OT
0.7 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kevin Hayes · 1st 03:47 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Michael Bunting · 1st 05:08 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 04:15 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Jalen Chatfield · 2nd 12:45 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 16:18 · 3–2 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Erik Karlsson · 3rd 01:51 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Sebastian Aho · OT 01:30 · 4–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (51%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 80.
CAR 80%PIT 20%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kevin Hayes · 1st 03:47 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Michael Bunting · 1st 05:08 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 04:15 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Jalen Chatfield · 2nd 12:45 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 16:18 · 3–2
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Erik Karlsson · 3rd 01:51 · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Sebastian Aho · OT 01:30 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (51%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
16/19 saves · 3 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
