CAR
6–3
TOR
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 25-15-2
6–3
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 27-14-2
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
212212210634
TOR
21318012333
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
CAR 25-15-2 · TOR 27-14-2 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Maple Leafs
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Hurricanes erased the deficit with 6 unanswered goals — Staal's equalizer — and won 6–3. The Hurricanes owned the 2nd period, 2.4 to 1.0 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 3.0, on 34 and 33 shots on goal.
CAR 4.4 xG · 34 shots
TOR 3.0 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.0 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
2.4 · 1.0
3rd
1.0 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Robertson · 1st 01:59 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
William Nylander · 1st 07:29 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Eric Robinson · 1st 13:58 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
4
Jordan Staal · 1st 14:15 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Jordan Staal · 2nd 00:35 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Auston Matthews · 2nd 01:11 · 3–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (41%)
7
Jackson Blake · 2nd 04:58 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Jordan Staal · 3rd 00:20 · 5–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 16:23 · 6–3 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 68.
CAR 68%TOR 32%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Robertson · 1st 01:59 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
William Nylander · 1st 07:29 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Eric Robinson · 1st 13:58 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
4
Jordan Staal · 1st 14:15 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Jordan Staal · 2nd 00:35 · SH · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Auston Matthews · 2nd 01:11 · PP · 3–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (41%)
7
Jackson Blake · 2nd 04:58 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Jordan Staal · 3rd 00:20 · 5–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 16:23 · EN · 6–3
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/33 saves · 5 GA · 4.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
