Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 26-15-3
2–3
Final / OTL
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 18-20-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CAR
01001121501237
ANA
17031911320
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 0–1
CAR 26-15-3 · ANA 18-20-5 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 0–1
Hurricanes fell to the Ducks
The Hurricanes created the better chances (3.2 to 1.8 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Gauthier's goal. Pyotr Kochetkov allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.8, on 37 and 20 shots on goal.
CAR 3.2 xG · 37 shots
ANA 1.8 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.8
2nd
1.1 · 0.3
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.5
OT
0.1 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jansen Harkins · 1st 09:35 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Cutter Gauthier · 3rd 01:18 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 07:48 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 19:04 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Cutter Gauthier · OT 01:52 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 73.
CAR 73%ANA 27%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jansen Harkins · 1st 09:35 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Cutter Gauthier · 3rd 01:18 · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 07:48 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 19:04 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Cutter Gauthier · OT 01:52 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
35/37 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.