CAR
3–2
VGK
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 27-16-3
3–2
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 29-13-3
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
0711328328
VGK
01318110231
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
CAR 27-16-3 · VGK 29-13-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
Hurricanes beat the Golden Knights
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.6 expected goals); the Hurricanes won 3–2. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.6, on 28 and 31 shots on goal.
CAR 3.4 xG · 28 shots
VGK 3.6 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.4 · 1.9
2nd
2.3 · 1.0
3rd
0.7 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 04:22 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 11:57 · 1–1 · snap shot, a great chance (33%)
3
Jackson Blake · 3rd 00:46 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 06:09 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Shea Theodore · 3rd 09:52 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 46.
CAR 46%VGK 54%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tomas Hertl · 2nd 04:22 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 11:57 · 1–1
Snap shot, a great chance (33%)
3
Jackson Blake · 3rd 00:46 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 06:09 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Shea Theodore · 3rd 09:52 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
3
Andrei Svechnikov, Dmitry Orlov · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2–1
No penalties
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
