Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 32-16-4
3–2
FinalW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 16-30-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
1721109327
CHI
1301116220
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
CAR 32-16-4 · CHI 16-30-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
Hurricanes beat the Blackhawks
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 1.8, and a 3–2 win to show for it.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.8, on 27 and 20 shots on goal.
CAR 3.3 xG · 27 shots
CHI 1.8 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.4
2nd
1.3 · 0.6
3rd
1.1 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 16:57 · 1–0 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
2
Ilya Mikheyev · 1st 18:38 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 04:52 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Jaccob Slavin · 2nd 05:59 · 3–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
5
Connor Bedard · 3rd 06:29 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 75.
CAR 75%CHI 25%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 16:57 · SH · 1–0
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
2
Ilya Mikheyev · 1st 18:38 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 04:52 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Jaccob Slavin · 2nd 05:59 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
5
Connor Bedard · 3rd 06:29 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.