Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 33-19-4
7–3
FinalW
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 23-23-9
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
116412210738
UTA
18111120339
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CAR 33-19-4 · UTA 23-23-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Hurricanes beat the Mammoth
Chances were even (3.6 to 3.9 expected goals); the Hurricanes won 7–3. Karel Vejmelka allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.9, on 38 and 39 shots on goal.
CAR 3.6 xG · 38 shots
UTA 3.9 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
1.8 · 1.5
3rd
1.0 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jalen Chatfield · 1st 10:09 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Josh Doan · 1st 17:35 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 06:25 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 08:35 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Clayton Keller · 2nd 10:19 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
6
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 14:14 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
7
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 19:15 · 5–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
8
Clayton Keller · 3rd 16:11 · 5–3 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 17:16 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
10
Jack Roslovic · 3rd 18:34 · 7–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 46.
CAR 46%UTA 54%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jalen Chatfield · 1st 10:09 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Josh Doan · 1st 17:35 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 06:25 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 08:35 · 3–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Clayton Keller · 2nd 10:19 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
6
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 14:14 · SH · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
7
Seth Jarvis · 2nd 19:15 · 5–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
8
Clayton Keller · 3rd 16:11 · PP · 5–3
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
9
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 17:16 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
10
Jack Roslovic · 3rd 18:34 · 7–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
4
Unassisted · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
31/37 saves · 6 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.