CAR
5–2
BUF
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 34-21-4
5–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 24-28-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
31711119537
BUF
140516215
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CAR 34-21-4 · BUF 24-28-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Hurricanes beat the Sabres
The Hurricanes earned it: 4.0 expected goals to 1.8, and a 5–2 win to show for it. James Reimer stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 1.8, on 37 and 15 shots on goal.
CAR 4.0 xG · 37 shots
BUF 1.8 xG · 15 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.9 · 0.3
2nd
1.5 · 0.7
3rd
0.6 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jordan Staal · 1st 06:09 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Sebastian Aho · 1st 07:57 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 09:41 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Alex Tuch · 1st 19:04 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Taylor Hall · 2nd 15:52 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
6
JJ Peterka · 3rd 01:15 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 17:49 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 82.
CAR 82%BUF 18%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jordan Staal · 1st 06:09 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Sebastian Aho · 1st 07:57 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 09:41 · PP · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Alex Tuch · 1st 19:04 · PP · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Taylor Hall · 2nd 15:52 · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
6
JJ Peterka · 3rd 01:15 · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 17:49 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
3
Andrei Svechnikov, Shayne Gostisbehere · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
13/15 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
