Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 37-22-4
3–2
FinalW
Boston Bruins
BOS · 28-28-8
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
1914110323
BOS
11409111234
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
CAR 37-22-4 · BOS 28-28-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
Hurricanes beat the Bruins
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.8 expected goals); the Hurricanes won 3–2. Jarvis's winner came with 0:19 left.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.8, on 23 and 34 shots on goal.
CAR 2.5 xG · 23 shots
BOS 2.8 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.8
2nd
0.6 · 1.1
3rd
1.1 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sebastian Aho · 1st 06:29 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Morgan Geekie · 1st 18:55 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
3
Brent Burns · 2nd 02:06 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Morgan Geekie · 3rd 01:14 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (30%)
5
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 19:41 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 46.
CAR 46%BOS 54%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sebastian Aho · 1st 06:29 · SH · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Morgan Geekie · 1st 18:55 · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
3
Brent Burns · 2nd 02:06 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Morgan Geekie · 3rd 01:14 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (30%)
5
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 19:41 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
1
Unassisted · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.