Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 38-22-4
4–2
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 44-17-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
1711129427
WPG
0401028222
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CAR 38-22-4 · WPG 44-17-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Hurricanes beat the Jets
The Hurricanes earned it: 2.9 expected goals to 2.1, and a 4–2 win to show for it. The Hurricanes owned the 2nd period, 1.6 to 0.6 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 2.1, on 27 and 22 shots on goal.
CAR 2.9 xG · 27 shots
WPG 2.1 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.6
3rd
0.7 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mark Jankowski · 1st 18:05 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Mark Jankowski · 2nd 05:21 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a great chance (25%)
3
Logan Stankoven · 3rd 02:34 · 3–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Alex Iafallo · 3rd 17:14 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 17:58 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Adam Lowry · 3rd 19:08 · 4–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 64.
CAR 64%WPG 36%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mark Jankowski · 1st 18:05 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Mark Jankowski · 2nd 05:21 · 2–0
Backhand shot, a great chance (25%)
3
Logan Stankoven · 3rd 02:34 · PP · GWG · 3–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Alex Iafallo · 3rd 17:14 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 17:58 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
6
Adam Lowry · 3rd 19:08 · 4–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
4
Unassisted · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3–1
No penalties
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.