CAR
4–1
TBL
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 39-22-4
4–1
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 37-23-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
1821518431
TBL
0100618124
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 1–2
CAR 39-22-4 · TBL 37-23-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 1–2
Hurricanes beat the Lightning
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 3.0, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 3.0, on 31 and 24 shots on goal.
CAR 3.6 xG · 31 shots
TBL 3.0 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 1.7
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.9
3rd
0.8 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 04:29 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Jordan Martinook · 2nd 12:56 · 2–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 19:15 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Gage Goncalves · 3rd 04:38 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Sean Walker · 3rd 06:26 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 58.
CAR 58%TBL 42%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 04:29 · SH · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Jordan Martinook · 2nd 12:56 · GWG · 2–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 19:15 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Gage Goncalves · 3rd 04:38 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Sean Walker · 3rd 06:26 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
2
Unassisted · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2–0
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 3.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
