CAR
4–2
DET
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 40-22-4
4–2
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 31-29-6
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
09312111432
DET
1606114226
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
CAR 40-22-4 · DET 31-29-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
Hurricanes beat the Red Wings
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.6 expected goals); the Hurricanes won 4–2. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.6, on 32 and 26 shots on goal.
CAR 2.8 xG · 32 shots
DET 2.6 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.5
2nd
1.2 · 0.6
3rd
1.0 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 18:07 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Taylor Hall · 2nd 00:22 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 05:44 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Jalen Chatfield · 2nd 12:18 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Michael Rasmussen · 3rd 02:53 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
6
Eric Robinson · 3rd 18:49 · 4–2 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 54.
CAR 54%DET 46%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 18:07 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Taylor Hall · 2nd 00:22 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 05:44 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Jalen Chatfield · 2nd 12:18 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Michael Rasmussen · 3rd 02:53 · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
6
Eric Robinson · 3rd 18:49 · EN · 4–2
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
2
Jesperi Kotkaniemi, Jack Roslovic · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
