Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 46-24-4
5–1
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 48-18-9
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
31216113531
WSH
0511204121
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–1
CAR 46-24-4 · WSH 48-18-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–1
Hurricanes beat the Capitals
The Hurricanes earned it: 4.0 expected goals to 2.7, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Logan Thompson allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.7, on 31 and 21 shots on goal.
CAR 4.0 xG · 31 shots
WSH 2.7 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.9
2nd
1.2 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sean Walker · 1st 06:14 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Jackson Blake · 1st 10:11 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Seth Jarvis · 1st 13:21 · 3–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Logan Stankoven · 2nd 09:27 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 19:25 · 4–1 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Jackson Blake · 3rd 06:55 · 5–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 70.
CAR 70%WSH 30%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sean Walker · 1st 06:14 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Jackson Blake · 1st 10:11 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Seth Jarvis · 1st 13:21 · PP · 3–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Logan Stankoven · 2nd 09:27 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 19:25 · PP · 4–1
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Jackson Blake · 3rd 06:55 · PP · 5–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
3
Shayne Gostisbehere, Sebastian Aho · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/21 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.