Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 47-27-5
7–3
FinalW
New York Rangers
NYR · 37-36-7
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
2721338728
NYR
0519217331
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 4–0
CAR 47-27-5 · NYR 37-36-7 · Meeting 4 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 4–0
Hurricanes beat the Rangers
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.8 expected goals); the Hurricanes won 7–3. Igor Shesterkin allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.8, on 28 and 31 shots on goal.
CAR 2.9 xG · 28 shots
NYR 2.8 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.4
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.8 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jalen Chatfield · 1st 09:02 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Seth Jarvis · 1st 17:46 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Jackson Blake · 2nd 02:02 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Mark Jankowski · 2nd 12:59 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Will Cuylle · 2nd 19:43 · 4–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Jordan Staal · 3rd 03:45 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
J.T. Miller · 3rd 06:07 · 5–2 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Adam Fox · 3rd 09:02 · 5–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 16:27 · 6–3 · snap shot, into an empty net
10
Logan Stankoven · 3rd 17:59 · 7–3 · slap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 51.
CAR 51%NYR 49%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jalen Chatfield · 1st 09:02 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Seth Jarvis · 1st 17:46 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Jackson Blake · 2nd 02:02 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Mark Jankowski · 2nd 12:59 · GWG · 4–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Will Cuylle · 2nd 19:43 · 4–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Jordan Staal · 3rd 03:45 · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
J.T. Miller · 3rd 06:07 · PP · 5–2
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Adam Fox · 3rd 09:02 · 5–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 16:27 · EN · 6–3
Snap shot, into an empty net
10
Logan Stankoven · 3rd 17:59 · EN · 7–3
Slap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
8
Artemi Panarin, Vincent Trocheck · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5–3
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/26 saves · 5 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.