Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 47-28-5
1–4
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 50-26-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
01102113126
TOR
141828420
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 1–2
CAR 47-28-5 · TOR 50-26-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Hurricanes trail the season series 1–2
Hurricanes fell to the Maple Leafs
The Hurricanes created the better chances (3.5 to 2.5 expected goals) — and lost 1–4. Joseph Woll stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.5, on 26 and 20 shots on goal.
CAR 3.5 xG · 26 shots
TOR 2.5 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.5
2nd
0.4 · 0.8
3rd
1.9 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pontus Holmberg · 1st 19:43 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Auston Matthews · 2nd 10:20 · 0–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 3rd 01:25 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 07:58 · 1–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
John Tavares · 3rd 15:43 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 65.
CAR 65%TOR 35%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pontus Holmberg · 1st 19:43 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Auston Matthews · 2nd 10:20 · GWG · 0–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 3rd 01:25 · 0–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Sebastian Aho · 3rd 07:58 · PP · 1–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
John Tavares · 3rd 15:43 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 2.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.