Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 1-0
4–1
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 0-1
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
11722117445
NJD
0518011124
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Hurricanes lead the series 1–0
CAR 1-0 · NJD 0-1 · Game 1 — the Hurricanes lead the series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Devils
The Hurricanes earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 1.7, and a 4–1 win to show for it. The Hurricanes owned the 2nd period, 1.7 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 1.7, on 45 and 24 shots on goal.
CAR 3.6 xG · 45 shots
NJD 1.7 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 0.3
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.4
3rd
0.6 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jalen Chatfield · 1st 02:24 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Logan Stankoven · 2nd 06:37 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Logan Stankoven · 2nd 13:08 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Nico Hischier · 2nd 18:51 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 17:32 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 80.
CAR 80%NJD 20%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jalen Chatfield · 1st 02:24 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Logan Stankoven · 2nd 06:37 · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Logan Stankoven · 2nd 13:08 · PP · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Nico Hischier · 2nd 18:51 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 17:32 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 1.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
41/44 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.