Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 4-1
5–4
Final / OTW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 1-4
1ST2ND3RDOT2OTT
CAR
0941101501910554
NJD
313110080400435
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Hurricanes lead the series 4–1
CAR 4-1 · NJD 1-4 · Game 5 — the Hurricanes lead the series 4–1
Hurricanes beat the Devils
Down 0–3 in the 1st period, the Hurricanes erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Aho's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Aho's goal. Pyotr Kochetkov allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 5.3 expected goals to 2.3, on 54 and 35 shots on goal.
CAR 5.3 xG · 54 shots
NJD 2.3 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
0.3 · 1.2
2nd
1.6 · 0.5
3rd
1.7 · 0.5
OT · the swing
1.7 · 0.2
2OT
0.0 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dawson Mercer · 1st 03:46 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Timo Meier · 1st 05:31 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Stefan Noesen · 1st 09:55 · 0–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Taylor Hall · 2nd 01:46 · 1–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
5
Jackson Blake · 2nd 04:01 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 05:40 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Nico Hischier · 2nd 07:26 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 11:27 · 4–4 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
9
Sebastian Aho · 2OT 04:17 · 5–4 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 86.
CAR 86%NJD 14%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dawson Mercer · 1st 03:46 · 0–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Timo Meier · 1st 05:31 · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Stefan Noesen · 1st 09:55 · 0–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Taylor Hall · 2nd 01:46 · 1–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
5
Jackson Blake · 2nd 04:01 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 05:40 · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Nico Hischier · 2nd 07:26 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 11:27 · PP · 4–4
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
9
Sebastian Aho · 2OT 04:17 · PP · GWG · 5–4
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
2nd overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
49/54 saves · 5 GA · 5.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.