CAR
4–0
WSH
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 6-2
4–0
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 5-3
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
06211211428
WSH
090606021
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Hurricanes lead the series 2–1
CAR 6-2 · WSH 5-3 · Game 3 — the Hurricanes lead the series 2–1
Hurricanes beat the Capitals
Chances were even (3.1 to 2.7 expected goals); the Hurricanes won 4–0. Frederik Andersen stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 2.7, on 28 and 21 shots on goal.
CAR 3.1 xG · 28 shots
WSH 2.7 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.7
2nd
0.9 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 12:34 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 18:57 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Eric Robinson · 3rd 03:14 · 3–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Jackson Blake · 3rd 16:44 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (52%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 58.
CAR 58%WSH 42%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 12:34 · GWG · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 18:57 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Eric Robinson · 3rd 03:14 · 3–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Jackson Blake · 3rd 16:44 · PP · 4–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (52%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
1
Unassisted · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–0
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/21 saves · 0 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
