CAR
2–5
FLA
Final · L
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 8-3
2–5
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 9-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
110010113233
FLA
271825520
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Hurricanes trail the series 0–1
CAR 8-3 · FLA 9-4 · Game 1 — the Hurricanes trail the series 0–1
Hurricanes fell to the Panthers
The Hurricanes created the better chances (3.0 to 1.4 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Frederik Andersen allowed 3.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.4, on 33 and 20 shots on goal.
CAR 3.0 xG · 33 shots
FLA 1.4 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.4
2nd
0.7 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.3 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 08:30 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Aaron Ekblad · 1st 12:29 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Sebastian Aho · 1st 19:44 · 1–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
4
A.J. Greer · 2nd 03:33 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Sam Bennett · 3rd 06:08 · 1–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 14:55 · 1–5 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Jackson Blake · 3rd 16:19 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a great chance (41%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 76.
CAR 76%FLA 24%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 08:30 · PP · 0–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Aaron Ekblad · 1st 12:29 · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Sebastian Aho · 1st 19:44 · 1–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (13%)
4
A.J. Greer · 2nd 03:33 · GWG · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Sam Bennett · 3rd 06:08 · PP · 1–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 14:55 · 1–5
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Jackson Blake · 3rd 16:19 · PP · 2–5
Wrist shot, a great chance (41%)
1st period
1
Aleksander Barkov, Matthew Tkachuk · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
15/20 saves · 5 GA · 1.4 xGA
Allowed 3.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
