CAR
3–5
FLA
Final · L
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 9-6
3–5
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 12-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
2901014323
FLA
0638211525
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Hurricanes trail the series 1–4
CAR 9-6 · FLA 12-5 · Game 5 — the Hurricanes trail the series 1–4
Hurricanes fell to the Panthers
The Hurricanes let a 2–0 lead get away: the Panthers came back with five unanswered goals — Rodrigues's equalizer — and won 3–5. Frederik Andersen allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.4, on 23 and 25 shots on goal.
CAR 2.5 xG · 23 shots
FLA 2.4 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd
0.8 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sebastian Aho · 1st 04:39 · 1–0 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (15%)
2
Sebastian Aho · 1st 18:54 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 07:23 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 07:53 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Anton Lundell · 2nd 11:59 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 08:30 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 12:21 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Sam Bennett · 3rd 19:06 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 53.
CAR 53%FLA 47%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sebastian Aho · 1st 04:39 · 1–0
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (15%)
2
Sebastian Aho · 1st 18:54 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 07:23 · PP · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 07:53 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Anton Lundell · 2nd 11:59 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 08:30 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 12:21 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Sam Bennett · 3rd 19:06 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
