Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 2-0-0
4–3
Final / OTW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 0-1-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CAR
01531201111439
PHI
161121500323
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
CAR 2-0-0 · PHI 0-1-1 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Flyers
The Hurricanes earned it: 5.8 expected goals to 3.0, and they won it in overtime on Jarvis's goal. Samuel Ersson stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 5.8 expected goals to 3.0, on 39 and 23 shots on goal.
CAR 5.8 xG · 39 shots
PHI 3.0 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
2.1 · 0.9
2nd
1.3 · 1.6
3rd · the swing
2.0 · 0.4
OT
0.4 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Owen Tippett · 1st 19:38 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (33%)
2
Logan Stankoven · 2nd 03:46 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
3
Bobby Brink · 2nd 06:18 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Taylor Hall · 2nd 09:07 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Jordan Staal · 2nd 18:30 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Travis Sanheim · 3rd 16:00 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Seth Jarvis · OT 04:43 · 4–3 · slap shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 83.
CAR 83%PHI 17%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 9 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Owen Tippett · 1st 19:38 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (33%)
2
Logan Stankoven · 2nd 03:46 · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
3
Bobby Brink · 2nd 06:18 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Taylor Hall · 2nd 09:07 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Jordan Staal · 2nd 18:30 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Travis Sanheim · 3rd 16:00 · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Seth Jarvis · OT 04:43 · GWG · 4–3
Slap shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:09
Travis Konecny· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:08
Egor Zamula· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:14
Noah Cates· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:53
Garnet Hathaway· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:53
Jackson Blake· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:29
Jalen Chatfield· Tripping
Tippett scored on this power play
Minor
1
Travis Konecny, Trevor Zegras · Power play (Chatfield, tripping) · wrist shot, a great chance (33%)
0–1
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:25
K'Andre Miller· Interference
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:11
Matvei Michkov· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:42
Jalen Chatfield· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
35/39 saves · 4 GA · 5.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Hurricanes went 0-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Flyers power plays.