CAR
6–3
BUF
Final · W
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 10-4-0
6–3
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 5-6-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
110215310635
BUF
1605211322
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
CAR 10-4-0 · BUF 5-6-4 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Sabres
Chances were even (2.1 to 2.6 expected goals); the Hurricanes won 6–3. Alex Lyon allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 2.6, on 35 and 22 shots on goal.
CAR 2.1 xG · 35 shots
BUF 2.6 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.6
2nd
1.2 · 0.9
3rd
0.4 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sebastian Aho · 1st 05:00 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Owen Power · 1st 08:18 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 04:34 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 2nd 11:39 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Eric Robinson · 3rd 00:29 · 4–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 03:23 · 4–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Tage Thompson · 3rd 06:49 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
8
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 17:56 · 5–3 · snap shot, into an empty net
9
Charles Alexis Legault · 3rd 18:32 · 6–3 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 41.
CAR 41%BUF 59%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 5 penalties← Hurricanes shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sebastian Aho · 1st 05:00 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Owen Power · 1st 08:18 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Andrei Svechnikov · 2nd 04:34 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 2nd 11:39 · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Eric Robinson · 3rd 00:29 · GWG · 4–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Alex Tuch · 3rd 03:23 · 4–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Tage Thompson · 3rd 06:49 · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
8
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 17:56 · EN · 5–3
Snap shot, into an empty net
9
Charles Alexis Legault · 3rd 18:32 · EN · 6–3
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:07
Jacob Bryson· Hooking
Jacob Bryson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:59
Conor Timmins· Roughing
Conor Timmins· Roughing
Svechnikov scored on this power play
Minor
3
K'Andre Miller, Nikolaj Ehlers · Power play (Timmins, roughing) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:59
Mike Reilly· Holding the stick
Mike Reilly· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:08
Charles Alexis Legault· Interference
Charles Alexis Legault· Interference
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:08
Jordan Greenway· Roughing
Jordan Greenway· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
3rd period
5
Jesperi Kotkaniemi, Charles Alexis Legault · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4–1
Goaltending
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Hurricanes went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 1 Sabres power play.