Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 12-5-0
4–3
Final / OTW
Vancouver Canucks
VAN · 8-9-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CAR
280181814438
VAN
24180401317
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
CAR 12-5-0 · VAN 8-9-2 · First meeting this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 1–0
Hurricanes beat the Canucks
The Hurricanes earned it: 4.0 expected goals to 1.2, and they won it in overtime on Aho's goal. Pyotr Kochetkov allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 1.2, on 38 and 17 shots on goal.
CAR 4.0 xG · 38 shots
VAN 1.2 xG · 17 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.4
2nd
0.9 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
1.4 · 0.1
OT
0.6 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Max Sasson · 1st 02:45 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 04:20 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 05:14 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Elias Pettersson · 1st 09:14 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Conor Garland · 2nd 03:13 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Taylor Hall · 3rd 06:26 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Sebastian Aho · OT 04:29 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 88.
CAR 88%VAN 12%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 4 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Max Sasson · 1st 02:45 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 04:20 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Andrei Svechnikov · 1st 05:14 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Elias Pettersson · 1st 09:14 · SH · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Conor Garland · 2nd 03:13 · PP · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Taylor Hall · 3rd 06:26 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Sebastian Aho · OT 04:29 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:09
Marcus Pettersson· Cross-checking
Svechnikov scored on this power play
Minor
3
Shayne Gostisbehere, Nikolaj Ehlers · Power play (Pettersson, cross-checking) · slap shot, a good chance (18%)
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:43
Evander Kane· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:43
Sean Walker· Slashing
Garland scored on this power play
Minor
5
Brock Boeser, Elias Pettersson · Power play (Walker, slashing) · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:14
Jackson Blake· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Overtime
Goaltending
14/17 saves · 3 GA · 1.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/38 saves · 4 GA · 4.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Hurricanes went 1-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Canucks power plays.