Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 15-7-2
5–1
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 12-11-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR
110010415535
WPG
051503113
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
CAR 15-7-2 · WPG 12-11-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the Hurricanes lead the season series 2–0
Hurricanes beat the Jets
The Hurricanes earned it: 2.9 expected goals to 1.4, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Thomas Milic allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 1.4, on 35 and 13 shots on goal.
CAR 2.9 xG · 35 shots
WPG 1.4 xG · 13 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.5
2nd
0.5 · 0.4
3rd
0.9 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 16:06 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 10:41 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 11:52 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 12:39 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 18:57 · 4–1 · backhand shot, into an empty net
6
Alexander Nikishin · 3rd 19:37 · 5–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Hurricanes win 77.
CAR 77%WPG 23%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 10 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Seth Jarvis · 1st 16:06 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 10:41 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
3
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 11:52 · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 12:39 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 18:57 · EN · 4–1
Backhand shot, into an empty net
6
Alexander Nikishin · 3rd 19:37 · 5–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:36
Dylan DeMelo· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:08
Colin Miller· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:49
Andrei Svechnikov· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:53
Jackson Blake· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:33
Thomas Milic· Delaying game illegal play by goalie
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:53
Gabriel Vilardi· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:53
William Carrier· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:53
Logan Stanley· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:53
Jordan Martinook· Holding
Offsetting
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:58
Dylan DeMelo· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3
Mark Jankowski, Shayne Gostisbehere · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–1
Goaltending
12/13 saves · 1 GA · 1.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Hurricanes went 0-for-4 on the power play and killed all 2 Jets power plays.